Indicators / Treasury / Yield Curve
US 3M Treasury yield
US 3M Treasury yield (constant maturity, H.15).
Current
4.28%
Observation date 2026-10-15
Context indicator (not scored)LIVE
Stress
—
Not scored
Metric: — · Trend ·Context-dependent
History
Percentile 53
Z-score 0.15
History since 1981-09-01
Changes
1W +5 bps
1M +17 bps
3M +44 bps
6M +58 bps
12M +25 bps
Chart
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Interpretation & scoring
Direction: Context-dependent: rising yields can reflect stronger growth, higher inflation expectations or a higher term premium; falling yields can reflect growth fears or expected easing. Not scored as a recession signal on its own.
Not scored: displayed for context only.
Contribution to scores
This indicator does not enter any composite score.
Sources & timestamps
| Series | Source | ID | Frequency | Last observation | Source last updated | Retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (via FRED) | DGS3MO | Daily | 2026-10-15 | 2026-10-16 20:16 UTC | 2026-10-18 23:08 UTC |