Indicators / Consumer
UMich consumer sentiment
University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment.
Current
51.7
Observation date 2026-08-01
SevereRECENT
Stress
99
Level percentile
Metric: 51.70 · Trend →Stable
History
Percentile 1
Z-score —
History since 1952-11-01
Changes
1W —
1M −3.5
3M +6.9
6M −4.7
12M −6.5
Chart
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Interpretation & scoring
Direction: Lower = more pessimistic households (sentiment has been a weak predictor of spending recently).
Stress metric: Level percentile (lower = more stress).
Mapping: point-in-time historical percentile of the metric (polarity-adjusted). Signal bands: <50 Normal · 50–75 Watch · 75–90 Elevated · ≥90 Severe.
Contribution to scores
| Score | Category / cluster | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recession Stress | consumer / sentiment | 2.5% | 2.5 |
Sources & timestamps
| Series | Source | ID | Frequency | Last observation | Source last updated | Retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMich consumer sentiment | University of Michigan (via FRED) | UMCSENT | Monthly | 2026-08-01 | 2026-09-25 15:02 UTC | 2026-10-18 23:09 UTC |