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Indicators / Treasury / Yield Curve

30Y–10Y spread

30-year minus 10-year Treasury yield.

Current

+0.33 pp
Observation date 2026-10-15
Context indicator (not scored)LIVE

Stress

—
Not scored
Metric: — · Trend ·Context-dependent

History

Percentile 53
Z-score -0.13
History since 1977-02-15

Changes

1W −5 bps
1M −3 bps
3M −19 bps
6M −28 bps
12M −26 bps

Chart

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Interpretation & scoring

Direction: A steeper long end often reflects term-premium / fiscal-supply concerns rather than growth expectations.

Not scored: displayed for context only.

Contribution to scores

This indicator does not enter any composite score.

Sources & timestamps

SeriesSourceIDFrequencyLast observationSource last updatedRetrieved
30-Year Treasury Constant MaturityBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (via FRED)DGS30Daily2026-10-152026-10-16 20:16 UTC2026-10-18 23:08 UTC
10-Year Treasury Constant MaturityBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (via FRED)DGS10Daily2026-10-152026-10-16 20:16 UTC2026-10-18 23:08 UTC