Indicators / Treasury / Yield Curve
10Y real yield (TIPS)
10-year Treasury Inflation-Indexed yield.
Current
2.78%
Observation date 2026-10-15
Context indicator (not scored)LIVE
Stress
—
Not scored
Metric: — · Trend ·Context-dependent
History
Percentile 99
Z-score 1.74
History since 2003-01-02
Changes
1W −9 bps
1M +16 bps
3M +43 bps
6M +85 bps
12M +102 bps
Chart
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Interpretation & scoring
Direction: Higher real yields tighten financial conditions but also reflect stronger growth expectations.
Not scored: displayed for context only.
Contribution to scores
This indicator does not enter any composite score.
Sources & timestamps
| Series | Source | ID | Frequency | Last observation | Source last updated | Retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year TIPS (real) yield | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (via FRED) | DFII10 | Daily | 2026-10-15 | 2026-10-16 20:16 UTC | 2026-10-18 23:08 UTC |