Indicators / Financial Conditions
Chicago Fed NFCI
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (105 measures of risk, credit and leverage).
Current
-0.50
Observation date 2026-10-09
NormalLIVE
Stress
39
Level percentile
Metric: -0.50 · Trend →Stable
History
Percentile 39
Z-score -0.50
History since 1971-01-08
Changes
1W +0.01
1M +0.04
3M +0.02
6M −0.03
12M +0.02
Chart
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Interpretation & scoring
Direction: Positive = tighter than average financial conditions.
Stress metric: Level percentile (higher = more stress).
Mapping: point-in-time historical percentile of the metric (polarity-adjusted). Signal bands: <50 Normal · 50–75 Watch · 75–90 Elevated · ≥90 Severe.
Contribution to scores
| Score | Category / cluster | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recession Stress | credit_financial / conditions | 3.1% | 1.2 |
| Financial Market Stress | conditions / nfci | 10.0% | 3.9 |
Sources & timestamps
| Series | Source | ID | Frequency | Last observation | Source last updated | Retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index | Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (via FRED) | NFCI | Weekly | 2026-10-09 | 2026-10-15 12:36 UTC | 2026-10-18 23:09 UTC |