Indicators / Manufacturing / Activity
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
Atlanta Fed GDPNow model estimate for the current quarter.
Current
3.6%
Observation date 2026-07-01
NormalLIVE
Stress
7
Nowcast level
Metric: 3.64 · Trend ↓Improving
History
Percentile 84
Z-score —
History since 2011-07-01
Changes
1W —
1M —
3M +2.1 pp
6M —
12M +0.2 pp
Chart
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Interpretation & scoring
Direction: Model nowcast of current-quarter growth; volatile early in the quarter.
Stress metric: Nowcast level (lower = more stress).
Mapping: indicator-specific thresholds (piecewise linear). Metric values 4.00 → 1.50 → 0.50 → -0.50 → -3.00 map to stress 0 → 50 (Watch) → 75 (Elevated) → 90 (Severe) → 100.
Same anchors as reported GDP growth.
Contribution to scores
| Score | Category / cluster | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recession Stress | growth_labor / activity | 1.2% | 0.1 |
Sources & timestamps
| Series | Source | ID | Frequency | Last observation | Source last updated | Retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate | Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (via FRED) | GDPNOW | Quarterly | 2026-07-01 | 2026-10-15 16:02 UTC | 2026-10-18 23:09 UTC |