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Indicators / Treasury / Yield Curve

Effective Fed Funds rate

Effective federal funds rate.

Current

3.88%
Observation date 2026-10-15
Context indicator (not scored)LIVE

Stress

—
Not scored
Metric: — · Trend ·Context-dependent

History

Percentile 45
Z-score —
History since 1954-07-01

Changes

1W ±0 bps
1M +25 bps
3M +25 bps
6M +24 bps
12M −22 bps

Chart

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Interpretation & scoring

Direction: Policy rate. Closely related to the 3M and 2Y yields, so it is not scored separately (avoids double counting).

Not scored: displayed for context only.

Contribution to scores

This indicator does not enter any composite score.

Sources & timestamps

SeriesSourceIDFrequencyLast observationSource last updatedRetrieved
Effective Federal Funds RateFederal Reserve Bank of New York (via FRED)DFFDaily2026-10-152026-10-16 20:16 UTC2026-10-18 23:08 UTC