Indicators / Labor Market
Continuing claims
Insured unemployment (continuing claims, SA).
Current
1,710,000
Observation date 2026-10-03
NormalRECENT
Stress
27
YoY % change, 4-week average
Metric: -11.13 · Trend ↓Improving
History
Percentile 11
Z-score —
History since 1967-01-07
Changes
1W −0.2%
1M −3.1%
3M −4.9%
6M −5.5%
12M −11.4%
Chart
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Interpretation & scoring
Direction: Rising continuing claims = slower re-employment.
Stress metric: YoY % change, 4-week average (higher = more stress).
Mapping: point-in-time historical percentile of the metric (polarity-adjusted). Signal bands: <50 Normal · 50–75 Watch · 75–90 Elevated · ≥90 Severe.
Contribution to scores
| Score | Category / cluster | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recession Stress | growth_labor / claims | 2.3% | 0.6 |
Sources & timestamps
| Series | Source | ID | Frequency | Last observation | Source last updated | Retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing claims | U.S. Employment and Training Administration (via FRED) | CCSA | Weekly | 2026-10-03 | 2026-10-15 12:35 UTC | 2026-10-18 23:08 UTC |