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Indicators / Financial Conditions

Chicago Fed Adjusted NFCI

Chicago Fed Adjusted NFCI.

Current

-0.49
Observation date 2026-10-09
NormalLIVE

Stress

40
Level percentile
Metric: -0.49 · Trend ↑Deteriorating

History

Percentile 40
Z-score -0.48
History since 1971-01-08

Changes

1W +0.01
1M +0.06
3M +0.06
6M −0.04
12M +0.08

Chart

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Interpretation & scoring

Direction: NFCI purged of the influence of current economic conditions.

Stress metric: Level percentile (higher = more stress).

Mapping: point-in-time historical percentile of the metric (polarity-adjusted). Signal bands: <50 Normal · 50–75 Watch · 75–90 Elevated · ≥90 Severe.

Contribution to scores

ScoreCategory / clusterWeightPoints
Recession Stresscredit_financial / conditions3.1%1.2
Financial Market Stressconditions / nfci10.0%4.0

Sources & timestamps

SeriesSourceIDFrequencyLast observationSource last updatedRetrieved
Chicago Fed Adjusted NFCIFederal Reserve Bank of Chicago (via FRED)ANFCIWeekly2026-10-092026-10-15 12:35 UTC2026-10-18 23:09 UTC